Sans new disaster, the potential for India's strong growth is high. Booming exports are heartening. 2022 headwinds: Covid, inflation, interest rates. Complete lockdowns can kill the economy. The convergence of WPI & CPI rates will affect purchasing power. Don't expect huge outflows on the taper. Need to strike a balance between inflation & growth. Clear inflation is structural, not transitory. The real interest rate will still stay in the negative zone. Capex will revive if the real interest rate remains negative. Inflows are very strong in startups. Govt investment is likely to be strong as revenues strong. Govt going slow on divestment & reforms due to upcoming elections. UP election outcome to decide on reform pace. Watch the full interview here.
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