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In this video, we explore the historical significance of the 10YR3M spread, highlighting its accuracy in predicting economic downturns. We examine the current yield curve inversion, which is of historic depth, rivaling the double recession of 1980.
While the 10YR3M spread has an impressive forecasting track record, effectively capitalizing on this information requires patience and discipline. We discuss the challenges involved in interpreting the indicator's signals and the wide range of outcomes for recession timing, stock market performance, and labor market data.
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DISCLAIMER: This video does not provide investment or economic advice and is not professional advice (legal, accounting, tax). The owner of this content is not an investment advisor. Any securities, trading, or market discussion is incidental and solely for entertainment. Nothing herein shall constitute a recommendation, investment advice, or an opinion on suitability. The information in this video is provided as of its initial release date. The owner of this video expressly disclaims all representations or warranties of accuracy. The owner of this video claims all intellectual property rights, including copyrights, of and related to this video.
