18 years after its publication, Dr. John Robson fact-checks the predictions in the Canadian government's 2001 pamphlet warning of increased pollution, falling St. Lawrence water levels, crop failure and other things that should have happened by now.
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0:00 - Introduction
0:14 - Importance of models and history of forecasting
0:49 - First test of old forecast - Government of Canada pamphlet from 2001
2:28 - Summertime weather highs in Toronto
3:00 - Air pollution trends
3:44 - BC sea level trends
4:40 - Crop yield trends
5:16 - Forest fire trends
5:42 - Water levels in the St Lawrence River
6:36 - Forecasting worse than random guessing
7:17 - Why take current forecasting on face value when past predictions were so wrong?

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