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Having pulled off late escapes on a regular basis since winning promotion to La Liga, Granada’s luck finally ran out this term. Anything but victory will see them end the season bottom of the division and they can have few complaints, with only 20 points on the board going into the final fixture. Espanyol will finish between 8th and 10th depending on results this weekend so there’s not much at stake for them either and it’s likely to be quite a low-key affair, with both coaches planning towards next term.
Granada have played six, lost six under Tony Adams, who adds to the list of British managerial failures in Spanish football. His side have been relatively competitive at times though and haven’t completely capitulated even following relegation. 5 of Granada’s 6 games under Adams have produced 2 or 3 goals with only their 4-0 loss to Real Madrid producing more. Espanyol are a decent side but they don’t possess the sort of quality that suggests they will completely run away with this.
Both teams may experiment a little but Espanyol should stick with the core group of players that have performed well this term. Their most reliable goal threat has been Gerard Moreno. The Spaniard has started all but one of their league games and has netted 13 goals. He’s scored in each of his last two away matches and against a Granada defence that has conceded 2.16 goals per game this season, backing Gerard Moreno to score anytime looks good here.
3 of Espanyol’s last 4 matches have produced 2 or 3 goals. Their away matches average 2.44 goals per game while Granada home games average 2.56 per game. With both figures right in the middle of that 2-3 ranges, backing 2 or 3 goals at Evens could be the value bet in this one.
