SIGNIFICANT ICE/SNOW STORM ON THE WAY
watch [ Ссылка ]
#j7409 #j7409weather #severe weather #weatherchannelj7409
Link For Watches and Warnings Page Its self.
[ Ссылка ]
REMEMBER THIS CAN CHANGE
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
Thursday night through Friday night...A high impact winter
weather event appears to be unfolding this period, with a signal
for potential significant icing for parts of ENC. 19/00Z global
and meso models in much better agreement with developing strong
frontal inversion over ENC Thu night and into Fri, and with
arctic air mass in place, strong overrunning moisture will lead
to widespread wintry precipitation across most of ENC. Most
guidance indicating 850 mb temps above freezing for a bulk of
the FA, limiting the chances for heavy snow, though nrn tier
from around Plymouth to north Pitt county may see sleet mix with
snow from time to time on Friday as warm nose is quite thin
here, and top down method indicates a mix of snow/sleet.
Elsewhere, with sfc temps at or below freezing, the threat for
a prolonged period of ice/sleet is appearing a big threat, as
upper flow will be nearly parallel to the frontal boundary.
NAM/CMC/GFS/ECM all indicate best threat for significant icing would
be generally south and west of the U.S. Hwy 70 corridor, where we
are now forecasting up to 0.25"-0.50" of ice accretion. These
totals, if realized, would be enough to potentially bring down
powerlines and large tree limbs leading to scattered power outages.
Further north, mainly sleet is expected, as a deep low level cold
layer will be in place, and will allow for a refreeze of
hydrometeors as they enter the lower atms.
Cont to rely heavily on raw model T`s for temp forecast, mainly
a blend of GEM/NAM/NBM, as the higher res models resolve sfc T`s
much better in strong CAD events. Thus, most of the FA along and
west of hwy 17 will remain in the 20s all day Friday, which is
quite concerning, as areas that receive freezing rain will
accumulate fairly efficiently.
Hoisted a winter storm watch for all but mainland Dare, Eastern
Carteret, and the OBX zones. Nrn OBX incl mainland Dare will
have to be monitored for eventual inclusion in the watch or
eventual warning, as ra/sn line will be somewhere near or just
north of the Albemarle Sound.
Friday night, the aforementioned low will be moving
northeastward off the NC coast. Column cooling will occur from w
to e as CAA ensues. There may be a window for a couple inches
of accumulating snow esp for nrn half of the FA as several hours
of lift/omega occur in the DGZ per model x-sections from the
global models, particularly the ECM. Rest of the FA may see
trace snow amounts to perhaps an inch before dry air rushes in
by Sat morning.
If you would like to donate for my work my paypal link is below. Thank You.
[ Ссылка ]
SEND Pictures to jay.chesson68@gmail.com
Anne
[ Ссылка ]
