Philip Tetlock is an expert on forecasting; he’s spent decades studying how people make predictions — from political pundits to CIA analysts. In this conversation, he discusses a wide range of topics, including prediction algorithms, the long-term future, and his Good Judgment Project (which identified common traits of the most skilled forecasters).

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This talk was filmed at EA Global: San Francisco 2019. You can learn more about these conferences at eaglobal.org

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