In Episode 387 of Hidden Forces, Demetri Kofinas speaks with political analyst, author, and host of “Beyond the Polls,” Henry Olsen about the state of the 2024 presidential race and what to expect from what could be the most contested election in American history.

Henry tells us how each candidate is performing in the key swing states and districts that will determine this election, the frequency of early voting and how it compares to 2020, and shares his views on other predictive metrics that he is paying close attention to.

Henry believes that this election could be even closer than the one in 2000 between George W. Bush and Al Gore, an election that was ultimately determined by a narrow margin of 537 votes, along with a ruling by the Florida Supreme court to suspend any further recounts. The country is in a very different place today than it was two decades ago, and how any remotely similar scenario would play out this time is truly anyone’s guess.

Olsen and Kofinas also discuss the economic repercussions of a Trump victory, the role of J.D. Vance as a potentially transformational figure in Republican politics, the effect that a loss on the part of the Democrats would have on their party’s realignment, and much more.

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00:00 Introduction

01:58 Polls and Voter Demographics

07:00 Early Voting

12:46 Swing States & Polling Accuracy

19:42 New Media Influence

27:26 Impact of Voter Turnout

29:08 Analyzing the Rogan Interview

30:19 JD Vance & the Republican Party

35:35 Democratic Party Realignment

38:56 Election Recount Scenarios

44:15 Trump's Economic Policies

50:21 Future of Beyond the Polls

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Producer & Host: Demetri Kofinas

Editor & Engineer: Stylianos Nicolaou

Follow Demetri on Twitter at @Kofinas

Episode Recorded on 10/31/2024

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