(20 Jan 2006) SHOTLIST
20 January 2006
1. Wide of supporters of Anibal Cavaco Silva waving Portuguese flags
2. Mid shot of women with flags shouting "Cavaco, Cavaco"
3. Men in campaign van with loudspeaker asking people to vote for Cavaco Silva
4. Cavaco Silva arriving and waving to the crowd on top of car
5. Mid shot people waving campaign flags
6. Cavaco Silva kissing supporter
7. Two top shots of supporters greeting Cavaco
8. Mid shot supporters waving flags
9. SOUNDBITE (Portuguese) Anibal Cavaco Silva, Presidential (centre right) Candidate:
"Let's wait for the day after tomorrow (ie Sunday - election day). The reaction of the people of Lisbon is the same as that of the people in Oporto and all over the country. The people know who they want."
10. Set up shot Jose Manuel Fernandes, director of the Publico newspaper and political analyst
11. SOUNDBITE (English) Jose Manuel Fernandes, political analyst:
"He has the image of somebody that is very....he knows how to deal very well with the numbers (figures) and the economy and the people believe he can turn around the current situation (of political crisis)."
12. Independent candidate, socialist Manuel Alegre campaigning, UPSOUND "Alegro for President"
13. Alegre supporters waving placards
14. Alegre handing out roses to supporters
15. Alegre marching at rally with supporters
19 January 2006
16. Wide of rally of supporters of Mario Soares
17. SOUNDBITE (Portuguese) Mario Soares, Socialist presidential candidate:
"This vote is important not only to avoid a Cavaco Silva majority, but also to get us to the second round and win the elections."
18. Wide of Mario Soares and supporters singing Portuguese national anthem
19. Campaign billboard for Jeronimo de Sousa, Communist Party
20. Campaign billboard for Francisco Louca, co-founder of the Left Bloc
STORYLINE
Former Portuguese Prime Minister Anibal Cavaco Silva is poised to win Sunday's presidential election, according to opinion polls published on the last day of the campaign.
Polls published in three newspapers Friday gave Cavaco Silva 52-53 percent of the vote, but they had margins of error ranging between 1.6 and 2.6 percent.
But with many saying they still remain undecided, it's unclear whether Cavaco Silva could clinch a first-round victory over his five left-of-centre rivals.
Campaigning in Lisbon, Cavaco was greeted by crowds waving flags chanting his name during a walkabout in the centre of the city.
"People know who they want," he told supporters.
To win Sunday's ballot, a candidate needs more than 50 percent of votes cast, otherwise a second round must be held.
But Cavaco Silva's advantage is helped by the five-way split of the left of centre vote. All five of his opponents are either traditional Socialists or Communists.
Manuel Alegre, a widely admired Socialist legislator and celebrated poet, and Mario Soares, an 82-year-old former two-term Socialist president and prime minister, are Cavaco Silva's closest rivals.
Friday's polls gave them between 15-20 percent of the vote.
Alegre, 69, is the contest's dark-horse candidate, breaking with the Socialist Party to run as an independent.
On Friday he handed out red roses to supporters in Lisbon.
Soares on Thursday urged supporters to come out to vote.
"This vote is important not only to avoid a Cavaco Silva majority, but also to get us to the second round and win the elections," he told a rally in Lisbon.
Soares came out of political retirement to run for head of state as the official Socialist Party candidate.
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