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The Russian advance on Pokrovsk not only threatens vital supply routes, the city itself, and all its civilians. It also creates an extremely dangerous situation for Ukrainian forces south of Pokrovsk.
As Forbes analyst David Axe writes, the Russians, approaching Pokrovsk, outflanked Ukrainian forces holding a line between the village of Memrik and the Vovcha River, which runs north to south three miles east of Memrik.
"The result is an open salient jutting eastward into the Russian line - a salient that, with a few decisive Russian maneuvers, could become a trap for hundreds of Ukrainian troops," the analyst writes.
Inside this salient are units of the 59th Motorized Infantry Brigade, the 68th Jaeger Brigade, the 117th Territorial Defense Brigade, and the 15th National Guard Brigade. At the same time, the analyst notes that the integrity and stability of these Ukrainian forces depends on the 25th Airborne Brigade, which is defending the village of Ukrainsk in the northern direction of this section.
The Ukrainian retreat may already have begun, the analyst writes, and this is a smart move on the part of the Ukrainian command. Withdrawal from this salient would give the Russians about 30 square miles, but would preserve the integrity of the Ukrainian battalions at a critical moment, the analyst notes. In addition, some optimistic assessments of the fighting around Pokrovsk indicate a slowdown in the Russian advance - which could give the Ukrainians time and space to strengthen their defenses and logistics and save the city.
"There are not enough troops. There are so few that the loss of parts of four brigades could be catastrophic for the Ukrainians. At the same time, a successful evacuation of these almost encircled troops could strengthen the straightened and shortened Ukrainian line," the Forbes analyst believes.
He emphasizes that this will probably be the most optimistic outcome for the Ukrainians defending Pokrovsk, since, according to experts, stabilization in this section of the front line is possible by autumn, after the Russian army has exhausted its offensive potential.
Recently, The Telegraph reported that Russian troops were advancing in the direction of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast. It was assumed that Ukraine could lose Pokrovsk as early as September , since the actions of the occupiers threaten to encircle large sections of the Ukrainian front.
Volodymyr Zelensky stated that, Russian invader troops have not advanced in the Pokrovsk direction , while a fairly large number of Russian troops have been transferred from the occupied part of southern Ukraine - the Zaporizhia region and the Kherson region - to the Kursk region of the Russian Federation.
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