Why do airport scanners still freak out even though you've got nothing on you? When is a scary disease diagnosis most likely just a false alarm? And what the hell are sensitivity and specificity?

Statistics is not exactly the sexiest topic, but it's an exceptionally important one to understand given the current COVID-19 situation. This video discusses the False Positive Paradox and Base Rate Neglect - two rather counter-intuitive concepts that you need to get familiar with if you want to make optimal decisions around your health. This video is also a good primer if you want to understand Bayes Theorem, which is my favouritest thing ever.

Further Reading:
An excellent list of rationality concepts (this one being a major inspiration for this video): [ Ссылка ]

For more on Base Rate Neglect
[ Ссылка ]

Detailed (and legit) statistical analysis of Sally Clark case: [ Ссылка ]

Written & Produced by Liv Boeree: [ Ссылка ]
Sound & Audio Mastering by the incredible Greg Pidcock, check out his art here: [ Ссылка ]

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Live Curiously with Liv Boeree is a series of videos exploring the fringes of science, philosophy, futurism and rationality. In other words, all the stuff that keeps me up at night!

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