In this upload: How to bet like a Professional Gambler on Horse Racing, i take you through the process to evaluate form and create betting odds!

When you are starting on this journey, watch visuals (replays of races) and learn to get the feel.

REPLAYS ARE FREE TO WATCH:

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Included in this talk through is:

The track, distance, number of runners, ground conditions, and class of race. While this is just a outline of what you will need to understand to analyse races correctly, it's a good starting point!

When looking at the runners in a race, consider the following:

Handicap mark - You can go through each runners profile. If the runners don't have a handicap rating, make one for yourself based on the factors at hand. Look at the runners that finished around it, and work back from any marks they have achieved.

The ability to act on the ground is another consideration. Look at how a runner performed on various types of ground, and if you don't have enough evidence check breeding and what the parents preferred.

Trainer form is worth considering, especially at the beginning of the season. Don't just look at stable winners, take on board the betting odds of each runner, and figure out expectancy.

Distance, type of track, jockey and field size are other metrics to take on board.

The object of the game is to be able to create a betting order, and then put odds to each of the runners. If you work back to 100% (no bookmaker juice), it gives you a target. I would then suggest you make odds for what you would need to bet, and what odds you would be happy to lay (assuming the bookmakers role).



POSTED ON OUR WEBSITE (PRE RACE BETTING PREVIEW BASED ON WHAT WAS DISCUSSED)

CHEPSTOW 2:20 JAVERT ALLEN 9/4

If he can find some form, LUCKY LUGGER is on a fair handicap mark. However, based on the information at hand, Matt Sheppard will have is work cut out to get anything out of the 7 year. In 5 hurdle races, the gelding pulled-up three times, and on the other two ocassions he was beaten 15.5L & 21L. I could also point to him being big odds on each of his racecourse appearances, and he’s up against some useful types!

Since joining Venetia Williams from France, NOW OR NEVER went from bad to worse. In fact, the son of CRILLON dropped from an opening handicap mark of 126 to 112, and based on his efforts from last season that number is high. While it is hard to find anything positive to say about the 5 year old, he’s in the right hands. A recent wind operation is positive, and we know he can jump fences. The betting market will reveal stable expectancy, but for now we have to treat him with caution!

Lightly raced ONEWAYORTOTHER is the other with chasing experience. The 6 year old had one run over fences, in which he finished 3rd/5 beaten 3.75L by FISTON DE BECON. While that wasn’t a bad effort, he’s returning from a 184 day absence for a stable that is out of sorts. At current odds, the Toby Lawes trained gelding is a big ‘’lay’’.

Four year old VALADON is being switched to chasing after just four hurdle races. The son of VADAMOS won two of those, and in doing so he’s earned a rating of 116. The youngster is with a good trainer in Harry Fry, and he wouldn’t be making the switch to fences if he wasn’t a natural jumper. Since conditions should suit, he’s the likely danger to my selection.

I’ve been in racing all my life, and I thought I understood the handicapping system. However, I really don’t get why JAVERT ALLEN is set to carry a handicap mark of 115 when he comes into this with a hurdles rating of 119.

The Jane Williams’ trained 5 year old is set to carry top weight, and he’s not raced for 323 days. All the same, the four times raced son of NO RISK AT ALL should leave his current handicap mark behind. While I’m all about reality, Williams wouldn’t be switching him to fences if he wasn’t a natural jumper.

In summary, David Noonan’s mount looks the part, and he goes well fresh. The ground and distance should be spot on, and being able to get in at odds of 9/4 is much better than anticipated!

Betting tips/Blogs/tutorials can be found here:

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