Rams (-10.5) vs. Falcons
This line was -13.5 in the offseason market, and it was -13 last Thursday in the lookahead market before the Rams lost to the Bills in the season opener. On Sunday night the market reopened at -11.5, and the line was bet down to -10.5, where it is currently. This line is a massive overreaction to how bad the Rams looked on Thursday Night Football and how close the Falcons played the superior Saints on Sunday. I still have the Falcons power rated as the worst team in the league, in part because HC Arthur Smith is a horrible in-game situational decision maker (see his decision to punt on 4th-and-6 at the NO 47 with less than a minute left). And the Rams I still have as the best team in the NFC. In the slot, WR Cooper Kupp should absolutely dominate CBs Dee Alford (undrafted rookie) and Mike Ford (journeyman, 9.9 yards per target for career).


Colts (-3.5) at Jaguars
The Colts were disappointing in Week 1, struggling to a 20-20 tie vs. the Texans. However, they thoroughly dominated from a yardage perspective. They outgained the Texans by 218 yards, and they gained 13 more first downs. The general perception at the moment is that the Colts are simply not a good team, and I’m not ready to make that assessment. They should have plenty of success offensively against a Jaguars team that was shredded by Carson Wentz and the Guardians in Week 1, and their defense should be improved was Shaquille Leonard back in the lineup. I think this is a prime overreaction spot, so I’m laying the points with Indy.


Eagles (-2) vs. Vikings
The Eagles are coming off an impressive offensive performance, which saw them put up 38 points in Week 1 against the Lions. They gained over 200 yards rushing and four different players reached the endzone on the ground. The Vikings come into Week 2 off a win against the Packers. Justin Jefferson led the way in the victory, scoring two TDs. I believe this will be a competitive game, but the Eagles have the advantage in the trenches on both sides of the ball.




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