Full title: The Contrasting Paths to the Modern Economy in Late 19th Century China and Japan
Speaker: Debin Ma, Professor of Economic History, Faculty of History and Fellow, All Souls College, University of Oxford

0:00 Welcome Remarks by Professor Zhiwu Chen, director @hkihss @quantitativehistory & #CQH
3:56 Presentation by Professor Debin Ma @oxforduniversity @quantitativehistory
8:21 National Memories and National Ideologies
11:45 Why a Japanese comparison now?
16:26 Initial Conditions versus Ideological (Policy) Shift
31:30 Chinese (intellectual origin) of Modern Japan
58:08 Japanese Origin of Modern China
1:06:36 Modeling Ideological Change
1:06:58 The contrast between Japanese and Chinese Reform and Revolution
1:09:48 Conclusion
1:11:13 Q&A session starts
1:13:53 Question by Professor Zhiwu Chen
1:18:53 Question by Dr. Ghassan Moazzin @hkihss
1:22:17 Selected questions from the Zoom audience
1:26:36 Question by Professor Jin Li @hkufbecomm

About this QH Lecture
In this Quantitative History Lecture, Debin Ma of the University of Oxford presents his paper which revisits the old thesis of the contrasting paths of modernization between Japan and China. It develops a new analytical framework regarding the role of ideology and ideological change—Meiji Japan’s decisive turn towards the West pitted against Qing China’s lethargic response to Western imperialism – as the key driver behind this contrast. They show that the structural difference between Tokugawa Japan’s feudal, decentralized political regime and Qing China’s centralized bureaucratic system generated differential benefits and costs for regime change and ideological realignment in mid-19th century. Debin Ma and his team build a historical narrative to trace the origin of this political bifurcation to the Medieval period. Their new analytical framework supported by a historical narrative and empirical evidence highlights the crucial role of regime change during late 19th century China and Japan through the lens of ideological change as distinctive but complementary elements of culture and institutions.

Debin's co-authors: Jared Rubin (Chapman University) and Weiwen Yin (University of Macau)

About Quantitative History Lecture Series
Hosted by Quantitative History Research Cluster @hkihss
Co-organized with Centre for Quantitative History and International Society for Quantitative History

© 2023 International Society for Quantitative History
Hybrid Lecture @May Hall, HKU Campus on April 28, 2023

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