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Challenges faced while trading Breakouts in Nifty/Banknifty or other F&O stocks
1. Breakout Failure
2. Catching stock with no action
3. Buying just because Nifty Corrected today
4. Selling just because Nifty moved up
Solutions to all the problems above ----
Price + Open Interest Analysis Empirical evidence has it, The moves which are backed by additional Open interest participation have higher probability of sustaining. Validating a breakout in Nifty/Banknifty in conjunction with Open Interest will help in trading breakouts confidently.
Solution --- Price OI Percentile Price Move along with participation (Open Interest Increment) has More Probability of Sustaining If Price Percentile is greater than 80 (+) Open Interest Percentile is greater than 80 --- Price is Recent High + OI Recent High…. …Probability of Breakout Sustaining after Such Move Much Higher
If Price Percentile lesser than 20 (+) Open Interest Percentile is greater than 80 --- Price is Recent Low + OI Recent High…. …Probability of Breakdown Sustaining after Such Move Much Higher
Identifying breakouts is not the only task when trading breakouts, Managing risk is crucial in breakout trading, as sudden price movements can lead to significant losses if not managed properly. Traders should always use stop loss orders to limit potential losses, and should also consider using trailing stop orders to lock in profits as the price continues to move in their favour.
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