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After the fall of the Assad regime, the Kremlin became very concerned about its S-400 systems, which could fall into the hands of the new government. Even after December 8, Moscow began an urgent evacuation of its S-300 and S-400 systems, Forbes reports .
The withdrawal of these installations from Syria marked the end of an era in which the Kremlin played a major role in Syria's disputed airspace. Journalists from The Wall Street Journal report that the Kremlin has delivered all of its S-300 and S-400 systems from Syria to Eastern Libya via cargo planes. Since December 8, maintaining these installations on Syrian territory no longer meets the Kremlin’s strategic interests.
Russian-allied warlord Khalifa Haftar would doubtlessly welcome the deployment of these strategic air defense systems as a counterbalance against his Turkish-backed rival, the UN-recognized government in Tripoli, which unsurprisingly opposes Russia reinforcing its bases in the divided country. Haftar fought that government in 2019-20 when his forces besieged and tried to seize the capital, only to be routed by a counteroffensive supported by Turkish drones. The conflict has remained stalemated ever since. Rumors abound in 2020 that Russia deployed S-400s or S-300s to eastern Libya, which, as noted at the time, could have helped solidify that stalemate. Haftar has long been “obsessed” with having Russian air defenses deployed in the areas he controls to avoid a repeat of that year’s humiliating rout.
Retaining S-400s in Syria no longer serves Russia’s strategic interests since the systems became more exposed following the takeover of the country, including Latakia, by anti-Assad armed groups.
“The removal of S-400 missile defense systems from their positions at the Hmeimim air base appears to be the first clear sign that preparations are underway for the base’s full evacuation,” wrote analyst Anton Mardasov in Al-Monitor. “However, by Dec. 8, the continued presence of these expensive systems had already become irrelevant when opposition forces entered the town of Jableh, from where they could effectively shell the entire base.”
Russia first relocated its Su aircraft to the Khmeimim airbase in Syria in 2015. Some time later, the first S-400 missile systems appeared at the same airbase to strengthen Russia's presence in the skies. Back in 2017, military writer Tom Cooper stated that the Alawite Mountains are located near Khmeimim, which severely limit the radar's operations.
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