The Deep404 - analysis of global events. Ukraine War Update 23Sep Part 2
#ukrainewar #ukrainewarnews #ukrainerussia #ukraineunderattack #russianwar #deep404
Kremenchug Airport - retaliation
Turkish sources indicating - Kremenchug Airport - launch site of Cruise missiles SS/SCALP on Crimea-Sevastopol has been target in a reciprocal attack - reportedly by a significant number of possibly Kh-50 cruise missiles.
KH-50 is special - The missile is estimated to have a range of over 1,500 km, a cruise speed of 700 kph, with a max speed of 950 kph. (Faster cruise would result in a shorter range.)
The missile is estimated to feature a warhead weighing 450 kb.
Kh-101 and Kh-55 is – they needed to be hauled into the air for launch by lumbering bombers. The heat signatures from the four engines of the bombers are picked up by US SBIRS satellites as soon as the bombers start up for taxying, giving Ukraine 1 to 2 hours of warning!
Composite airframe for radar signature reduction
Low-Altitude Flight: Shaped for low-altitude flight, allowing it to maneuver through heavily contested airspace and evade enemy radar coverage.
Advanced Navigation and Target Recognition: The missile employs an electro-optical digital correlating system called “Otblesk” for navigation and target recognition. This advanced system enhances its precision and targeting capabilities.
Reports the attack targeted stocks of SS/SCALP and Su-24M/MR bombers that were responsible for yesterday’s attack on the BSF headquarters.
If reporting is correct there are casualties possible among pilots, aircrew and even NATO personnel - TBC
Problems with repairing soviet air equipment - no supply from Russia
Partners can help with tanks, IFV, arty - but not airforce - no spare parts
1- 1.5yrs left life for airforce
This is what they want F-16 and Western helios - as they can then get parts.
Note another SU-25 reportedly shot down today.
Ukrainian Telegram Channel - Legitemny
Inside sources in the UKR government - generally reliable
Zelensky - promised the US to return Soledar, Bakhmut and to take Tokmak - the first two symbolic.
Polish Prime Minister Morawiecki - “I want to tell PResident Zelensky to never again insult Poles as he did recently” UN Grain ban stopped last Friday but Poland, Hungary, SLovakia all refused to purchase grain - talk now that Zelensky is walking his comments back to try to get the Poles to agree to continue providing weapons.
Unconfirmed but Legitemny a Ukrainian channel is reporting that recent polls are showing that 80% of Poles surveyed are now against supporting Kiev.
General Syrskyi - commander of the Ukrainian Ground Forces since 2019.
Failed Bakhmut - this was apparently a plan between Zelensky and US - to gain funding.
Bakhmut was chosen because:
No mine fields
Not a large strength of Russiansd in the area
Symbolism - return of the fort - a sign of trend reversal
This has alleged been brought up while Zelensky in Washington - along with questions about funding, where it has gone/been spent upon.
“STart time has passed”
And now US has issued ultimatums….
Financial assistance contingent upon elections being held - under US supervision and Not the Office of the President (Ukr)
Clearing out certain staff - Ermak (Ze’s adviser), HO Central Election commission??
Reforms on corruption
Future purchase for the army to be all through US channels CIA etc not UK MI5/MI6
Full control and reporting on all future offensive and defensive plans
Infrastructure war
Perhaps most unsettling news - reports that the Russian attacks on Ukr infrastructure is underway - oil reserves, ships, railways power generation -
Advice Ukrainians to prepare for worse case scenario - stock up on water, firewood, food , batteries, candles, wark clothes, medicines and fuel
Like Nagarno - Karabakh Armenia Azerbaijan
Georgian National Legion - lobbying to carry out a massive drone strike on infrastructure of ABkhazia - population of around 245,000. Its capital and largest city is Sukhumi.
While Abkhazia has been recognised as an independent state by Russia, Venezuela, Nicaragua, Nauru, and Syria, the Georgian government and nearly all United Nations member states consider Abkhazia a sovereign territory of Georgia.
In August 2008, Abkhaz and Russian forces fought a war against Georgian forces, which led to the formal recognition of Abkhazia by Russia
Georgian National Legion - looking to over throw the pro Russian government in georgia.
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