Correction, Number of infections in India is proabably 9, 620,000, not 60, million as written. However the IFR calculation is still valid as this is based on the number of reported deaths, compared to the overall population. This means the US is likly to have a higher overall number of infections, compared to India.
North Korea
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Coronavirus under safe and stable control, (NK UN ambassador, Kim Song)
Thanks to the far-sighted leadership of the government of the DPRK ... the anti-epidemic situation in our country is now under safe and stable control
UK
Cases, 6,874 + 6,042 + 5,693 + 4,044 + 7,143
Highest single figure for 24 hours
Cases, 19, 247 + 19, 661 + 19, 523 + 19,373 +
Active cases,
Deaths, +71
Highest 24 hours since July
India
Cases, 6, 148, 562
Deaths, 96, 318
Indian Council of Medical Research
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National antibody study
30,283 households and 28,000 individuals
National prevalence, 0.74%
60 million infections
18 – 45 years (43.3%)
46 – 60 years (39.5%)
IFR = 0.16%
Deaths at 70% of population infected would be 1, 456, 000
France
Cases, + 4,070 (Mon) + 8,051 (Tue)
Deaths, 81 + 85
Hospitalised, + 85 = 6,500
ITU, + 40 = 1,204
US
Recent Increase in COVID-19 Cases Reported Among Adults Aged 18–22 Years — United States, May 31–September 5, 2020
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Young adults with COVID-19 can spread infection to their contacts and communities.
August 2–September 5
Weekly cases, 18–22 years
Increased 55% nationally
Northeast (144%)
Midwest (123%)
Increases in cases not attributable to increased testing.
Therefore
Young adults, also in colleges and universities
Should take precautions
Mask wearing, social distancing, and hand hygiene, and follow local, state, and federal guidance
Institutions of higher education should take action to promote healthy environments
Multiple COVID-19 Clusters on a University Campus — North Carolina, August 2020
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A North Carolina university
Rapid increase in cases and clusters within 2 weeks of opening
August 3–25
670 laboratory-confirmed cases
96% were among patients aged less than 22 years
Eighteen clusters of five or more epidemiologically linked cases
All within 14 days of one another
Student gatherings and congregate living settings
Both on and off campus contributed
Therefore
Enhanced measures are needed to reduce transmission at institutes of higher education
Reducing on-campus housing density
Ensuring adherence to masking and other mitigation strategies
Increasing testing
Discouraging student gatherings.
Vaccine
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Pune, Serum Institute of India
World's largest manufacturer of vaccines, 1.5 billion vaccine doses annually
Mostly for the developing world.
Polio, diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, Hib, Hepatitis B, measles and rubella
Covishield, Oxford / AstraZeneca
2 million does so far
Increasing to 10 million per month
100 million if required
Stage III clinical trials, Brazil, South Africa
€12 ($13) per dose
SII, started manufacturing a nasal COVID-19 vaccine
Has completed preclinical animal studies
Phase I in the UK by end of 2020
Brazil
Amazon resurgence
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Brasilia, (1.8 million) closed bars, river beaches, parties banned
Manaus
Never imposed a full lockdown
COVID-19 herd immunity in the Brazilian Amazon (Sao Paulo’s Institute of Tropical Medicine)
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Cases increased quickly during March and April
Declined slowly from May to September
Antibody tests, 44% - 66%
Not wearing masks, packing into bars and attending parties
Infections now increasing
Netherlands
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Cases, + 3,011 (a daily record)
(National Institute for Health, RIVM)
The number of cases rose sharply in almost all regions and in all age groups
