I had to cut out a chunk due to size: WAR WARNING TO U.S. EXPATS IN TAIWAN & PHILIPPINES
DURATION: JUNE 5, 2024 TO NOVEMBER 5, 2024
This shared assessment is based upon historical precedents, recent events, and 43+ years of service in the U.S. Military, Department of Defense, and AF Institute for National Security Studies (INSS). Based upon this assessment, I recommend that Expats make plans during the Warning’s stated duration in the event that: (1) Air and Maritime transportation is suddenly stopped, (2) Banks may be closed without notice to prevent a run on the banks, (3) It may be difficult to attain cash, even if you can electronically transfer funds from foreign banks to Philippine banks. Philippine banks may not be open, and ATM machines may not work. I recommend holding a large supply of cash in the event of any conflict for your Rent and Food. Any Chinese blockade or invasion of Taiwan would be catastrophic, and any blockade of the Philippines would be equally disastrous.
Overall indicators of Increasing the Probability for a Pending Global & Regional War:
- China and Russia seeing political instability and weakness in the United States for refusing to aid Ukraine for nearly a half-year, causing great Ukrainian losses, and the arrest, trial, and conviction of a Former American President and main Opposition Political Candidate for President of the United States in 2024. - Japan is undergoing its largest Military Buildup since World War II, and reinforcing its Southwest Defenses in preparation for War.
- On May 22nd, Britian’s Deputy Prime Minister asked all citizens to stockpile at least 3 days of food, water, radios, personal documents, and emergency supplies in case of a National Crises (War).
- President Putin announced to the world in March 2024 that Russia is ready for Nuclear War. He really thinks he can survive it.
- China has already taken actions to prepare their total population for War including the stocking of huge amounts of food, supplies, and defense materials. China has the largest standing army in the world, and the Chinese Navy is larger than the U.S. Navy in the number of warships. U.S ships have many more naval missiles and weapons on board. However, that may or may not make a difference to Chinese plans.
- The Philippines is also increasing its military preparedness, purchasing additional weapon systems, building military alliances, and sharing military bases with the U.S. The Chinese military keeps pressing the Philippines trying to start a conflict.
- Russia, China, and North Korea are conducting military exercises together in the region.
- NATO is dramatically increasing its military preparedness. Poland is undergoing its largest defense buildup since World War II, and arming itself to the teeth. Other NATO and non-NATO nations are also increasing their militaries.
- NATO has performed its biggest coordinated mass parachute jump since World War II. This is to show NATO’s flexibility to deploy large numbers of troops to NATO countries if quickly if attacked by Russia.
- The United States has a large amount of military personnel and equipment along the borders of NATO countries, and sending a huge amount of Aid to Ukraine.
THIS IS ONLY A WARNING of a possible pending conflict -- not a guarantee. It is a matter of probabilities and historical precedents. I’m not taking the gamble, but preparing and stockpiling cash.
Dr. J. Avery
jpavery22@verizon.net
Cebu City, Philippines [ Ссылка ]
